Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is projected to win the special delegates election of the governing New Patriotic Party (NPP) with 72.6%.
In a special delegates-based survey conducted by Outcomes International Ghana and Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK, Dr. Bawumia will sweep the polls, leaving his nine other contestants less than 30% to share.
The survey indicated that the Vice President will win the majority followed by Alan Kyerematen 7.7%, Ken Agyapong third with 4.3%, Kwabena Agyepong fourth with 1.8%, and Dr. Owusu Afriyie-Akoto to take the fifth spot with 0.6%.
The total sum of votes for the remaining 5 candidates is 1.3% and undecided 11.7%.
Following the campaigns of the various candidates in the NPP Special Delegates election, Outcomes International Ghana and Centre for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK jointly conducted the survey to determine which five candidates are likely to qualify for the November 4, 2023, NPP Presidential Primaries.
The study also examined other socio-demographic factors that are likely to influence the outcome of the August 26 election.
For example, how ethnicity/geography and religion affect the chances of viable candidates, as well as the basis on which delegates assess the suitability of a candidate.
The survey was done in all 16 regions of the country using an estimated 300 NPP special delegates as the target population of the 961 voters in the electoral college.
It used multistage probability proportional to size sampling (PPS) with implicit stratification to reduce the operational cost of the survey and better represent the country.
The data was obtained mainly through computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) technology.
Regional breakdown of the sample size is 11 special voters in Upper West were interviewed, 17 in Upper East, 15 in North East, 19 in Northern, 17 in Savannah, 19 in Bono East, 14 in Bono, 11 in Ahafo, 36 in Ashanti, and 29 in Eastern.
Greater Accra region had 29 people interviewed, Central 19, Western 19, Western North 15, Oti 11, and Volta region 19.
Also, with the categories of respondents interviewed, the breakdown was Constituency Chairpersons 143, Regional Executive Member 103, Member of Parliament 33, Council of Elders 9, National Council Members 8, Card Bearing Ministers and Past National Officer 1.
Bawumia Is Muslim, Christian Unifier-Presby Moderator
In a related development, the outgoing moderator of the Presbyterian church of Ghana, Prof. Obiri Yeboah Mante, has extolled the religious unifying character of Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
Addressing the closing session of the 23rd General Assembly of the Presbyterian church of Ghana at the Ramseyer congregation at Abetifi Kwahu yesterday, the man of God described Dr Bawumia as a Muslim Christian.
Prof. Mante said the nation Ghana is grateful to God for gifting the nation with Vice President Bawumia.
He described the Vice President as someone who has embraced religious diversity and feels so comfortable worshipping with Christians, although he is a Muslim.
Prof Mante said “one day at one of our events like this i was standing by the Vice President Bawumia and surprisingly he sung all the lines of a hymn we were singing. So I asked him how did you learn all of these, and he responded that ‘I used to be a member of the Methodist Boys Brigade’ when I was young. I don’t know if he finally became an officer, but I think he is more than a Muslim. I think Vice President Bawumia is a Muslim Christian. ”
The closing session of the 23rd General Assembly was attended by many high profile personalities from academia, politics, traditional rulers, and clergymen from the Presbyterian church from across the continent.
At this year’s Assembly, Rev. Dr. Abraham Nana Opare Kwakye was elected as the new moderator of the church.